Days more before the count-down to 2018. Time flies.
December is the month that many would take a look into their portfolio performance, reflect and plan for the coming year. December is also the month that many are extremely busy on their works, family and vacations. Despite, being a student, it's the same here! The weather in Japan is getting really cold ranging from sub zero to -5 throughout the day with thick piles of snow forming.
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Look at the thick snow! |
I've been rather busy lately due to my research/attachment and is unable to write much. There's tons of draft which are still in the queue, waiting for me. This is also the first year that I'm in the market along with my first "year review on portfolio".
Ok, time to go into the topic.
Oh wait. Just a moment. Before dabbing in too much.
Would you believe if I tell you that my biggest return till date is from cryptocurrency?
Sure! Why not?
In this post, I will be writing on the performance of my
SGX equities portfolio,
Cryptocurrency performance and
Overall Portfolio performance. As cryptocurrency is part of my portfolio, I think it is fair for me to include it in for the overall performance. At the same time, it's just days more before the start of a new year, I believe that there will not be any big movements nor trading that will occur, hence the summary is done today.
Based on my earlier target to
channel $15/day into my war-chest/investment portfolio. This sum will come up to $5,475. However, I've achieve this goal in August and have since
revised the goal to $7,350. Today, in this post, I will announce that I've hit the goals I set for myself in 2017. *confetti throw*
As of today (19/12/17), my total portfolio value stands at S$7,584.66.
This sum here is 103.19% of my target, which suggest that I have exceeded my target slightly by 3.19%. Having that said, I'm contented on the performance this far.
Caution: Lengthy post ahead.
1. SGX Equities Performance
Anyway, back to the topic, despite STI surging past 3,4XX. My SGX equities portfolio under-performing the market and is in
RED! (if I exclude dividends received). The performance is positive if I factor in dividends received and yes, it's really pathetic.
This is due to some heavier weighting counters in my portfolio that is currently red such as ComfortDelGro, FEO and Wilmar. Another factor is also due to the relatively short duration of time that I'm in the market.
For CDG case, this is pretty much a value and contrarian play, as explained in my
previous post on CDG. At the price today, I do see some value presenting itself and will likely pull the trigger to average down more when it hit the price I have in my mind.
FEO on the other hand is an asset play with no guarantee that the value will realize anytime soon. For asset play, patience is needed. I've initiated this position 2 months ago, hence a small dip for an asset play is nothing to be shouting at.
Wilmar, is a counter that is attracting most of my attention now. The recent fall back to my initiation price is very very tempting for me to accumulate more shares from them. I do see the shiny, bright and attractive value at the current price and will be happy to accumulate more shares from them.
Another thing to note is that I've excluded dividends from Singtel & AA REIT. The shares are in XD but payment of dividends have yet to be received, hence they will not be factored in.
The following are the details of my equities portfolio ending 19/12/17:
Total Capital Injection = S$ 5,882.09
Total Value of Portfolio = S$ 5,776.34
Total Dividends received = S$111.23
Value (including dividend) = S$ 5,887.57
Unrealized P/L (excluding dividends) =
-S$ 105.75 (-1.80%)
Unrealized P/L (including dividends) =
+S$ 5.48 (+ 0.93%)
The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is the mean annual growth rate of
an investment over a specified period of time longer than one year. Hence, having that said, it might not be a very good idea to calculate my CAGR base on the relatively short time frame and none of my investment has exceeded one year.
However, I'm still going to do it.
CAGR's calculation:
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Formula extracted from investopedia.com |
Personally, this is my first time calculating CAGR, hence please correct me if there's any mistake spotted. Taking my total capital injection as beginning value and based on my first stocks bought in Feb 2017, I arrive with this equation below:
CAGR = (5887.57 / 5882.09)^(1/0.83)-1 =
0.11%
If anyone notices, the CAGR is exceptionally low due to the extremely small gains as well as the duration of holding.
XIRR wise, is the internal rate of return. They are used in capital budgeting measuring the profitability of potential investments. For now, I'm reading more on how I'm going to do the calculations and to more. Having that said, I've pulled out the XIRR from
stocks.cafe for reference.
Pathetic isn't it? Haha.
Read:
FY2017 Full Year Dividend
Accumulating CDG
Portfolio Update - Far East Orchard
Portfolio Update - CDG & Wilmar
2. Cryptocurrency Performance
For this section. Read at your own discretion. You may skip this section and not continue if you're someone that is "anti-crypto" and/or thinks that it is inappropriate for one to include their crypto returns in their portfolio performance review.
Hate me please. Why is this young kiddo so lucky? Beginners luck is still helping him! Wait. There's many others with far better performance out there - Be it hodlers or traders!
Anyway. Pertaining to my previous post on my month review as a cryptocurrency trader, I've revealed that I've successfully book 100% profit from the crypto-world and this amount of USD is sitting happily in my
DBS Multi-Currency Account. This account is originally created for my overseas attachment program. But right now, I've found another use for them!
Having that said, with the funds in cryptocurrency reduced significantly, it makes it much harder to book significant profit from trading. A 10% profit for a $200 investment is merely $20, which is extremely insignificant comparing to a 10% profit from a $1,000 investment -
Account size really matters. As such, I've changed my game play and is hodling onto crypto which I feel is under-value. (Yes. I'm not diversified)
In my previous post, I've also explained briefly on the withdrawal and reason for doing so. The withdrawal has booked 100% profit of the table and the remaining funds in crypto are basically free-hold. It's true that I've been losing out a hell lot of possible profits for the recent weeks due to the withdrawal of funds. But, I do not regret on my decision. Having to play with "free-chips" beats anything. It would be really interesting if I'm able to show people that how much I'm profiting from the market with merely USD 200 of free chips.
But remember -
Not profiting DOES NOT EQUATES to losing money.
Why is this guy stupid or out of his mind? Withdrawing his funds from a surging bull market? He's gonna lose out on so much! Whatever.
Below is the summary of details for this segment, ending 19/12/17 (based on USD=1.3381):
Total Capital Injection (USD) = USD 500.00
DBS MCA Funds (USD) = USD 1019.97
Value of Crypto-holdings (USD) = USD 331.44
Total Value (USD) = USD 1,019.97 + 331.44 = USD 1,351.41
Total Capital Injection (SGD) = S$ 684.70
Total Value (SGD) = S$ 1,808.32
There will be 2 different P/L in SGD and USD. The difference is due to forex spread. Nonetheless, I will be taking the results for SGD for computing.
P/L (USD) = +170.28%
P/L (SGD) = +164.11%
Now this is
really really explosive. Similarly,
for the fun of it, allow me to calculate the CAGR for this section. At the same time, I doubt that the crypto world will have that many years more for such exponential growth too.
Taking my beginning value at S$684.70, holding for one month. Ending value at S$1,808.32.
CAGR = (1808.32/684.70)^(1/0.083)-1 =
120,676.41%
Read: A month as a cryptocurrency trader - Results
3. Overall Portfolio Performance
The overall portfolio performance is an overview of both cryptocurrency investment and equities portfolio. The performance is greenish here due to the bout in cryptocurrency. Yes it's beginner's luck. Nonetheless, I'm thankful for what that had happened.
I heard it's really difficult to cash out from crypto. Did you really manage to cash out your gains from cryptocurrency? Yes.
Total sums and Overall performance:
Grand Total (Capital Injection) = S$ 5,882.09 + 684.70 = 6,566.79
Grand Total (Value) = S$7,584.66
Unrealized + Realized P/L ($) = S$5.48 + 1123.62 =
S$1,129.10
Unrealized + Realized P/L (%) = (7584.66/6566.79)-1 =
+15.50%
STI has return 21% till date from the start of 2017. Hence, with this performance you see here. I'm unable to beat the market in 2017.
Assuming the holding period throughout is 10 months (based on my first investment):
CAGR = (7584.66/6566.79)^(1/0.83) -1 =
18.96%
This concludes my overall portfolio performance for this year.
As I'm really new to this, kindly suggest to me on how I'd be able to further improve on this performance review so I'd be able to include it in the performance review post next year.
The year of 2017 have been rather rewarding in some way. And soon, we will be entering 2018. In the coming post, nearing the end of December, I will be writing about the review & reflection of 2017 along with the resolutions of 2018.
Hope everyone is having a good holidays now :)