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Sunday 1 July 2018

Portfolio - June 2018

Current Portfolio (30/06/2018)
No.
 Counters
No. of Shares
Market Price (SGD)
Total Value (SGD) based on market price
Allocation %
1.
SingTel
1,000
3.08
3,080.00
30.62%
2.
Wilmar Intl
500
3.07
1,530.00
15.21%
3.
Starhill Global REIT
1,700
0.65
1,096.50
10.90%
4.
Far East Orchard
800
1.40
1,064.00
10.58%
5.
AIMS AMP Cap REIT
400
1.38
552.00
5.49%
6.ComfortDelGro1002.35235.002.34%
7.
Singapore Saving Bonds
11,000.00
1,000.00
9.94%
8.
Warchest
1
1,500.00
1,500.00
14.91%

Total SGD:


10,057.50
100.00%

June had been an exciting month for SGX as STI continues to slide down to 3300 levels from 3600 in early May. With the ever-charging bull in 2017, it had been some time since STI had such declines.  My portfolio here had too see big declines after counters like SingTel and Wilmar free-fall. Haha!

This month is indeed really interesting having to see a pretty decent wipe and damage to my portfolio. Can anyone imagine the impact of a full-on bear like what seniors experienced in 1997 and 2008?

Also, a sincere apology to readers who might be waiting for my post to see that I've not blogged much the past month. I've been extremely busy in June and had experienced much on a personal note. I believe that in time soon, I will be able to slowly start clearing the drafts under my blogger profile, and more post should be coming up.



Wilmar has seen a big decline in the recent days ever since Trump had announced that the 25% tariff imposed on Chinese imports.

In the recent decline to 3.10 level, once again, Mr Kuok has stricken and acquired 55,200 shares from the open market.

Source: SGX
You may wish to refer to this for more information about the disclosure of change in interest by Director - Mr Kuok Khoon Hong

Big boss seems to show confidence in Wilmar and silently supporting it.

SingTel, on the other hand, displayed a relatively bearish chart from the month and continues to break lower lows.. especially when TPG is set to enter our local market in the second half of 2018. Which is soon.. Really soon. However, investors of SingTel will have to bear in mind that, SingTel today is no longer a telco in Singapore. But a multi-national telco provider with stakes in different parts of the world.

SingTel had also said to maintain it's ordinary dividend at 17.5 cents per share for the next 2 years, before reverting to a payout ratio of 60-75% subsequently. In my point of view, to maintain pay-out of 17.5 cents after 2 years, a rough calculation will tell me that SingTel has to generate an EPS between 24-30 cents.

Judging by their regular EPS (aside from the year 2017 with Netlink divestment), SingTel seems to be able to churn out 22-24 cents of EPS for awhile. With the step into digitalization, we shall be able to see more light towards the end of the tunnel. However, strong patience is required for this.

On a personal note, I view the price for SingTel today more attractive than it is and is looking to accumulate more when funds flow in.




Overall Portfolio Performance (as of 30/06/18):
Total (Capital Injection) in 2017 = S$ 6,566.79
Total (Capital Injection) in 2018 = S$ 2,569.79
Total Capital Injection 2017 & 2018 = S$ 9,136.58

Realized P/L = 17.78% or S$ 1,535.65 (Based on total injection)
Unrealized P/L = -5.47% or -S$ 472.77 (Based on total cost for each counter)
Cum. Dividends = S$ 257.66
Realized + Unrealized P/L + Dividends = $ 1,326.41 (14.52% base on cost)





Current Portfolio Value: S$10,057.50 (+0.39% m.o.m due to capital injection, dividends and portfolio performance)

CAGR = 7.22% (Based on start date at 14/02/17) - Days Count: 501
XIRR = 5.88% (This high % you see here is due to the wild card from Crypto in 2017 and relatively short duration)

Do take note that both XIRR and CAGR % is on a relatively high side due to the short duration that I'm in the market. As a reminder, a simple bear market should be sufficient to wipe out all the positivity you see up there.
Do take note that both XIRR and CAGR % is on a relatively high side due to the short duration that I'm in the market. As a reminder, any simple bear market should be sufficient to wipe out all the positivity you see up there.

As the time goes on, the % will be significantly reduced and adjusted based on time.






Current Cash Position (based on Opportunity Funds + SSB) = 24.86%
 
Dividends received in June: $10.52
Total dividends received in 2018: $146.44
Average dividends/month: $12.20





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2 comments:

  1. Hi Sleepy Devil,

    I also loaded up on Singtel too! Looking forward to more posts from you!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi MIM,

      I've been reserving some bullets and looking for opportunity to fire. I must admit that SingTel today is sitting in a more attractive proposition in my opinion and my fingers are getting really itchy!

      Delete